Models & Simulations

1. The Current Global Economic Model

For nearly a century, the dominant economic model has equated prosperity with output, work with wages, and progress with endless growth. Built for an industrial age and globalized through a digital one, it delivered unprecedented wealth—but also deepening fragility.

Today, its core assumptions are unraveling under the weight of accelerating automation, soaring inequality, ecological breakdown, and demographic transformation.

What follows is not a dismissal. It is not a dismal prognostication. It is a diagnosis: an honest account of the system we've inherited, how it operates, and why it may no longer serve the world we are entering.

Most importantly, it is a call to preparation—for the days, weeks, months, and years ahead that will define what kind of future we choose to build.

1.1 Core Assumptions

• Growth = Success: GDP is the primary objective.
• Labor = Income: Most households depend on wages.
• Capital Concentration: Machines, IP, and land owned by a minority yield passive returns.
• Reactive Government: Taxes on income and consumption fund services; regulation is after-the-fact.
• Externalized Costs: Ecological and social harms aren’t priced into core metrics.

1.2 Key Mechanics

1. Value Creation Loop: Production = Labor + Capital → Goods & Services → GDP growth
2. Income Distribution: Wages to workers; profits to capital owners; taxes on labor fund public budgets
3. Demand Cycle: Wages → Spending → Business Revenues → Jobs → Wages
4. Public Finance: Payroll, VAT, corporate taxes; unstable as wages shrink and capital globalizes
5. Safety Nets: Means-tested, reactive, underfunded
6. Growth Imperative: Debt and services depend on endless GDP expansion

1.3 Emerging Fault Lines

• Wage Decoupling: Productivity rises, wages stagnate.
• Job Erosion: AI replaces roles faster than adaptation.
• Inequality Surge: Top 1% capture most gains.
• Tax Base Collapse: Revenue falls as labor vanishes.
• Climate Crisis: Environmental costs unaccounted.
• Social Strain: Polarization, unrest, mental-health crises.

The Industrial-Era model once raised living standards when jobs were plentiful and planetary limits unseen. Today, its core assumptions are under unprecedented strain.

2. A New Economic Framework

2.1 Vision Contrast

2.2 Key Transitions

• Wages → Dividends
• Labor Tax → Automation Tax
• Scarcity → Abundance
• Ownership → Stewardship
• GDP → Holistic Well-being Index

3. System Architecture Schematic

┌────────────────────────┐
│   AI Productivity      │
│  (Synthetic Labor)     │
└────────┬───────────────┘
         │
 [Automation Dividend]
         ▼
┌────────────────────────┐
│   Public Value Pool    │◄───+ Carbon Rent
│ (AI Tax + Data Rents)  │    + Data Royalties
└────────┬───────────────┘
         │
    ┌────┴─────┐
    ▼          ▼
[Existence] [Dignity]
 [Floor]   [Dividend]
    │          │
    └────┬─────┘
         ▼
 [Household Participation]
         │
 [Care · Creation · Stewardship]
         │
      [Lifeway Credits]
         │
      [Cohesion ψₜ]
         └───▲
             │
        boosts Dₜ
      

4. Core Math Model

1) Public Value Pool:
   Vₜ = τ·Aₜ + Cₜ + Rₜ

2) Base Dividend per person:
   Bₜ = Vₜ / P

3) Dignity Dividend:
   Dₜ = E + max(0, Bₜ - E) * (1 + α·ψₜ)

Where:
  Aₜ: Automation value
  τ : Tax rate on Aₜ
  Cₜ: Carbon rent
  Rₜ: Data royalties
  P : Population
  E : Existence floor
  ψₜ: Cohesion index (0–1)
  α : Cohesion multiplier
      

5. Interactive Dignity-Dividend Calculator

Tweak the parameters below and hit “Calculate” to see the public value pool, base dividend, and dignity dividend per person.

6. Time-Series Projections

Now showing: Dignity Dividend and Social Cohesion. Up next: Lifeways Participation and Fiscal Flow.

7. Sources & Next Steps

Data Foundations:

• IMF: AI-Sector Output & Macroeconomic Projections
• World Bank: Global Carbon Pricing Dashboard
• Community Data Trust frameworks & whitepapers
• Academic research on post-labor economies and participatory governance pilots

What’s Next?

This dashboard is a living prototype. As we refine assumptions, add new scenarios, and integrate fresh data, this page will evolve in real time. If you’re working on complementary research, model data, or pilot programs—and want to collaborate— please get in touch by emailing us.

“We don’t need all the answers yet. But we do need models brave enough to ask better questions.”

8. Conclusion

We began with a simple question: what happens if we deliberately invest in human dignity as an economic outcome? The Dignity Dividend chart showed that this isn’t a utopian fantasy but a quantifiable trajectory—one that outpaces business-as-usual and fragmented responses.

From there, the Social Cohesion Index reminded us that money alone can’t knit communities together; it’s the patterns of trust, mutual aid, and shared purpose that define our social fabric. Lifeways Participation reframes “work” itself, spotlighting the care, creativity, and stewardship hours that give life meaning. Finally, our Fiscal Engine chart proves that generous dividends and robust public value pools can grow in tandem when policy is guided by foresight, not fear.

Together, these four charts form a single, living narrative: dignity, cohesion, participation, and fiscal balance are not competing priorities but stages in the same story. This page is our first draft of that story—a prototype for research, debate, and real-world experimentation.

As you explore these projections, remember: models aren’t answers, they’re invitations. They invite us to ask sharper questions, pilot bolder policies, and reimagine what an economy can be when it dares to center care. Thank you for joining this exploration. The next chapter depends on the curiosity and courage we bring to it.